Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 4.534139 5.157451 5.843312 6.655317 7.592137 8.641042 9.907228
2025-04-20 3.766263 4.595158 5.579287 6.838936 8.415660 10.333411 12.856907
2025-04-27 3.282681 4.215965 5.387795 6.977412 9.093214 11.834305 15.689745
2025-05-04 2.984420 3.997245 5.328801 7.224313 9.880435 13.510109 18.914546
2025-05-11 2.615021 3.625417 5.005139 7.049536 10.040409 14.315838 20.998326
2025-05-18 2.344350 3.351060 4.772906 6.956677 10.277899 15.223577 23.304498
2025-05-25 2.125755 3.123409 4.576050 6.881049 10.513255 16.129186 25.690571
2025-06-01 1.930623 2.908202 4.371480 6.763405 10.657196 16.889859 27.914336
2025-06-08 1.756864 2.707384 4.166640 6.618208 10.731087 17.530231 29.994744
2025-06-15 1.696030 2.675544 4.219088 6.886885 11.505064 19.401677 34.434100
2025-06-22 1.600449 2.578391 4.156096 6.953802 11.936812 20.724044 38.041435
2025-06-29 1.493236 2.452330 4.033290 6.903728 12.152634 21.677528 41.065687
2025-07-06 1.389330 2.324903 3.899924 6.826686 12.319426 22.573662 44.130358
2025-07-13 1.341259 2.289034 3.920295 7.026640 13.019018 24.548941 49.638417
2025-07-20 1.288275 2.239700 3.911792 7.170569 13.623752 26.403958 55.152459
2025-07-27 1.255482 2.223380 3.960298 7.425108 14.469741 28.835092 62.260079
2025-08-03 1.165680 2.095687 3.793324 7.245042 14.417219 29.400483 65.256704
2025-08-10 1.094877 1.998005 3.674733 7.149371 14.527666 30.319868 69.197750
2025-08-17 1.032265 1.911164 3.569916 7.071453 14.666116 31.312178 73.450839
2025-08-24 0.969716 1.819928 3.449552 6.950252 14.697224 32.065375 77.219991
2025-08-31 0.909017 1.728080 3.321168 6.800674 14.649608 32.630908 80.592313
2025-09-07 0.898094 1.734041 3.389064 7.077466 15.594034 35.627633 90.771963
2025-09-14 0.866338 1.695650 3.363296 7.146409 16.063653 37.537682 98.329700